Let me declare from the outset that despite the febrile atmosphere created by the Casey audit, I was against a national inquiry into the mass rape of White British girls by Pakistani Muslims (or ‘grooming gangs’ if you still prefer the euphemism). As I wrote at the time it was first proposed:
“Here’s where I’m going to shock you – we the people don’t want a public inquiry either. We’ve been here before, don’t forget. The Jay Report took seven years and just shy of £187 million to tell us absolutely nothing. It was a cover-up of cover-ups – a whitewash so sanitised even Dulux couldn’t market it. It followed in the footsteps of similar reports from Rochdale (2013), Rotherham (2014), Telford (2022), and Oldham (2022) – all of which preached apologies and avowed that ‘lessons must be learned.’ In 2022, the Independent Inquiry into Child Sexual Abuse (IICSA) finished with a list of 20 recommendations. Want to bet how many of those have been implemented? That’s right, not a single one.”
I still have my reservations. According to Baroness Casey, the report’s author, a national inquiry could take up to five years to complete – which, if past reports are anything to go by, means closer to ten. That’s another decade the victims simply don’t have.
Unsurprisingly, I was not alone in my opposition. So too were a fair proportion of the Labour front-benches, although naturally for different reasons. Foreign Secretary, David Lammy, argued simply “We’ve had a national inquiry”. Leader of the Commons, Lucy Powell, dismissed the issue as ‘dog-whistle’ politics. Jess Phillips, the safeguarding minister, refused Oldham Council’s request for a government-led public inquiry – which of course had nothing to do with her wafer-thin Birmingham Yardley majority, a seat which is 35% Muslim. Keir Starmer meanwhile, recently remarked that those calling for national inquiry were “jumping on far-Right bandwagon”. In fact, not one of Labour’s 403 MPs could bring themselves to vote for an inquiry.
The Prime Minister is no stranger to U-turns however, having already flip-flopped on the issue of raising taxes, winter fuel payments for pensioners, and whether transwomen are women. Indeed, Starmer rarely seems confident in his own beliefs until officialdom informs him of what they are. This latest Damascene conversion suggests that Starmer either now accepts, concern over the mass rape, torture and murder of little girls is not a ‘far-right’ bandwagon, or that if it is, it’s one he’s willing to get on-board with. Naturally, his response to the Casey audit was spun slightly differently:
“I have read every single word of her report and I am going to accept her recommendation. That is the right thing to do on the basis of what she has put in her audit.”
Having resisted an inquiry for months, despite overwhelming public demand, the reality is more likely to be that Morgan McSweeney took Starmer aside, held a gun to his head and politely explained the meaning of Hobson’s choice. Whatever the exact influence of Elon Musk’s intervention, GB News’ reporting, pressure from Reform UK and the Tories, Labour tanking in the polls, Labour MPs breaking cover, the cover-up of Southport, and the unmistakable sense that the public not only ‘know’ they are being lied to, but have had enough of it – a national inquiry was simply unavoidable.
Like the PM, I too have read ‘every single word’ – and while there is little (if anything at all) that wasn’t already available in the public domain – Casey’s audit is at least comparatively frank, clarifies some major issues, and coalesces with a public mood demanding not just answers but actions.
Here follows my summary of her findings:
The scale of the problem:
Around 500,000 children a year are likely to experience child sexual abuse. Police recorded crime data shows just over 100,000 offences of child sexual abuse and exploitation were recorded in 2024, with around 60% of these being contact offences (and the remainder online offences). The most common age for victims is between 10 and 15 years old (57% in 2023). Although typically ignored by reports, boys constitute one in five victims.
Underreporting:
Estimates of reporting rates for rape or assault by penetration before age 16 suggest that only around 7% of victims and survivors inform the police at the time of the offence, with only 18% informing the police at any point
Ethnicity:
The ethnicity of perpetrators is shied away from and is still not recorded for two-thirds of perpetrators. Despite reviews, reports and inquiries raising questions about men from Asian or Pakistani backgrounds grooming and sexually exploiting young White girls, the system has consistently failed to fully acknowledge this or collect accurate data so it can be examined effectively.
However, there is enough evidence available in local police data in three police force areas which we examined which show disproportionate numbers of men from Asian ethnic backgrounds amongst suspects for group-based child sexual exploitation, as well as in the significant number of perpetrators of Asian ethnicity identified in local reviews and high-profile child sexual exploitation prosecutions across the country, to at least warrant further examination.
Example: Operation Stovewood (Rotherham)
The National Crime Agency’s Operation Stovewood pursues historical cases of child sexual abuse and exploitation (CSAE) in Rotherham. They were able to provide us with the following data on the ethnicity of perpetrators in their investigations.
For a total of 323 designated CSAE suspects in Operation Stovewood, nearly two-thirds were recorded as coming from a Pakistani ethnic background, significantly higher than the proportion of South Yorkshire’s or Rotherham’s Pakistani ethnic population (2.4% and 4% respectively):
Cover-ups:
South Yorkshire Police were incompetent at best – sometimes turning a blind eye, but often actively enabling abuse – and corrupt at worst.
Rotherham Council sought an injunction against Times journalist Andrew Norfolk to prevent him from publishing grooming gang stories, and then asked South Yorkshire Police to launch a criminal inquiry into who had leaked the information to him.
The ‘downgrading’ of sexual abuse:
The table below shows that, in 1993/4, there were equal numbers of children placed on child protection plans for neglect (6,400) and sexual abuse (6,400). Thirty years later, the number of children on child protection plans for neglect has risen to 30,950 while those on child protection plans for sexual abuse has fallen to 2,160:
Direct link with illegal immigration:
The Casey audit noted that a significant proportion of these cases appear to involve suspects who are non-UK nationals and/or who are claiming asylum in the UK.
Accountability:
Across years of failure, no single individual has been held accountable for what everyone accepts were injustices.
In the short to medium-term it’s going to be fascinating observing the frantic rewriting of history, as indulged by lockdown fanatics post-Covid – those who subsequently claimed not to have called for the punishment, banning, and refusal of NHS treatment to ‘antivaxxers’.
Unlike previous whitewashes (sorry, reports), this time the panic amongst those who branded whistleblowers as ‘racist’ or ‘Islamophobic’ is palpable.
Here for instance, if former CPS prosecutor Nasir Afzal, who appears to have suddenly understood the role of ethnicity in grooming:
https://x.com/ArchRose90/status/1934656004412854592
Next up is Guardian journalist Owen Jones, who definitely never denied that Pakistani Muslims were systematically raping White British girls:
https://x.com/Basil_TGMD/status/1934949567646126269
Then we’ve got safeguarding minister, Jess Phillips, who famously compared mass Muslim sexual assault to a night out in Birmingham, finally admitting the ethnicity of the rapists (although naturally, she does quickly segue into her preferred topic of misandry).
https://x.com/JamesPGoddard90/status/1934968096487608639
Moreover, fresh information is seeping out – even from the blob (Civil Service), which is customarily immune from such revelations. According to former Downing Street Chief advisor, Dominic Cummings, Whitehall officials tried to cover up the grooming scandal back in 2011, and prevent Times journalist Andrew Norfolk from publishing the story.
Anyone who thinks the battle is now won or even close to being won, might want to rein in their excitement a little. Baroness Casey has confirmed that the grooming gangs are still operating, as are the efforts to cover them up. Perhaps the single most egregious cause of this, is the deference given to accusations of ‘racism’. Not merely that racism might be objectionable or unpleasant, but the sense that the mere suggestion of racism is ‘worse’ than the gang rape of children. To illustrate that, consider that child victims of gang rape were taken to court for ‘racially abusing’ their attackers, while the attackers themselves were not investigated until years later. Even now, the race card is still impeding the protection of victims. Only this year, efforts by a Labour councillor to install CCTV in taxis (a major tool of grooming gangs) was rejected. And thanks to accusations of ‘racism’ the councillor, Daisy Blakemore-Creedon, quit her role.
Imperfect though it may be, at the very least the Casey audit confirms what many of the vilified among us (Mark Steyn, Tommy Robinson etc) have been saying for decades. It also should serve to put a number of famous Westminster lies to bed, once and for all:
1. Multiculturalism is now a busted flush, and its pedlars should be metaphorically (if not actually) tarred and feathered in the public sphere.
2. Mass immigration, instead of a net benefit to Britain, is nothing short of the DIRECT import of child rapists.
3. The small boats crisis, far from a non issue about which nothing can be done, must be solved immediately (on an emergency footing if necessary), with mass deportations to follow.
Furthermore, never again can the authorities be allowed to neglect aspects of their work (e.g. data collection), nor be trusted to mark their own homework. Those responsible for the cover-ups must be held accountable, and never again trusted with so much as a lollipop lady’s brief.
Whether the actual inquiry will ultimately uncover the truth, the full extent of the cover-up, and deliver justice for the victims remains to be seen. I confess, I have reservations about Casey herself. As a former New Labour operator, touted for a ministerial post in Starmer’s government, her background does not exactly inspire confidence in her political neutrality. Her recent comments on the EDL for instance, reveal precisely the kind of snobbery at the working-class which contributed to so many victims being ignored in the first place:
https://x.com/TRobinsonNewEra/status/1934726902322729060
Meanwhile, as we speak, a further 2,000 undocumented males have crossed the English Channel in dinghies. How many of them will go on to commit crimes against children? And who, finally, will take responsibility for putting an end to it?
Frank Haviland is the Editor of The New Conservative, and the author of Banalysis: The Lie Destroying the West.
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A brilliant article. I was particularly interested in the statistics from Operation Stovewood. 64% Pakistani involvement in sex offences against minors with 20% British. British could mean anything and may well be less than that number for white British. If anyone thinks Pakistani men aren’t a problem they’re liars like Keir Starmer.
The U-Turns by figures like Owen Jones are both vindicating and sickening all at once.